Demand flattens and yields soar in March… Or maybe not

Two weeks ago, when we looked at the March air freight data from some of the early-reporting major carriers, airports, and handlers, it was clear that, for most of the world, demand growth had dwindled to almost nothing. The exception was three big carriers from the Americas – United, Delta, and LATAM – all of […]
  • David Harris
  • May 2, 2018

The wild card in the air freight game

Two weeks ago, when we analyzed the February results from some of the world’s big cargo carriers, we concluded that, once full worldwide data were available, we would see a fall-off in demand growth from January to February, and that the combined two-month growth would be below the double-digit percentages we saw last year, but […]
  • David Harris
  • April 4, 2018

DHL launches “Global Trade Barometer”

DHL launched an index, the “Global Trade Barometer” both for measurement of economic growth (based on import and export data for select commodities) and for prediction of the impact of the current environment on demand for air and ocean freight. The Barometer, which saw its first release this month, uses data from 2013 onward. It […]
  • David Harris
  • January 29, 2018

September yields surge, volume growth remains strong

Two weeks ago, we predicted that when worldwide data were available for September, we would see a year-over-year increase in air freight demand within a low-double digit band. Both WorldACD and IATA have published their September analyses, and, as you can see in the charts at right, demand was slightly lower than our expectations with […]
  • Charles Kauffman
  • November 1, 2017

Will year-over-year gains begin to decline in September?

When we summarized the worldwide air freight data from August, we predicted that, while demand would stay strong through September, the year-over-year percentage increase would probably show a slight decline. Why? Because it was in September 2016 that demand growth began to accelerate, making the year-over-year comparisons tougher. Looking back at 2016, air freight demand […]
  • David Harris
  • October 16, 2017

The good times keep rolling in July

Two weeks ago, when we analyzed the just-published July results from some of the world’s big carriers and airports, we predicted that when IATA and WorldACD published their detailed analyses of cargo traffic worldwide at the beginning of September, we would see air freight demand growth in July of 11% or 12%, year-over-year. We are still […]
  • David Harris
  • September 1, 2017

Air freight tonnage up 15% in March

Through the past two weeks, as we analyzed the March results coming in from the world’s big cargo carriers and airports, we predicted that when IATA and WorldACD published their comprehensive data for the month, they would show a double-digit increase in demand for air freight. When we saw the last results to come in, […]
  • David Harris
  • May 1, 2017

The widebody freighter fleet — part IV

Today we conclude our four-part analysis of the worldwide widebody freighter fleet. In the first three parts we looked at the composition of the fleet as it stands at the beginning of 2017, and how it has changed over the last twelve months. You can read Part I here, Part II here, and Part III […]
  • David Harris
  • February 10, 2017
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