April: the beat goes on for cargo traffic

If we had posted the chart at right one year ago – that is, representing air freight demand growth for April 2016 – the results would have seemed so good as to be almost unbelievable. This year, growth that will likely average close double digits in April is, well, almost disappointing after the 15% gains […]
  • David Harris
  • May 15, 2017

Air freight tonnage up 15% in March

Through the past two weeks, as we analyzed the March results coming in from the world’s big cargo carriers and airports, we predicted that when IATA and WorldACD published their comprehensive data for the month, they would show a double-digit increase in demand for air freight. When we saw the last results to come in, […]
  • David Harris
  • May 1, 2017

Exceptional cargo gains at Cathay and Turkish

After a very poor start in 2016, air freight demand began growing in the second half, and a strong peak season brought the full-year increase in cargo traffic to 3.2% above 2015 level. Still, 2017 began with everyone nervous about  the possibility that, after the strong peak, demand growth would fall back to the lackluster […]
  • David Harris
  • April 20, 2017

Cargo demand “leaps” in February

Two weeks ago, when we analyzed February results from some of the world’s major cargo carriers and airports, we predicted that when IATA published it’s worldwide summary in early April, we would see demand growth in, or approaching, double digits. Looking at IATA’s report, out this morning, it turns out we were right. On an as-reported […]
  • David Harris
  • April 5, 2017

2017 is off to a great start, but now is not the time for complacency

One month ago, we cautioned that, while the January results from some of the world’s major cargo carriers and airports looked good, it wouldn’t be until the combined January/February results were available – eliminating the impact of the timing of the Chinese New Year holiday – that we would be able to draw any conclusions […]
  • David Harris
  • March 19, 2017

January gains come with an asterisk

Two weeks ago, we looked at the January data available from some of the world’s major cargo carriers and airports. At that time we predicted that once all results were in, it was likely that worldwide air cargo demand for the month would show a modest year-over-year increase. But we also cautioned (as we always […]
  • David Harris
  • March 6, 2017

Modest demand growth in January, but what does it signify?

The Champagne bottles we uncorked last month to celebrate the growth of demand for air freight in 2016 are long since empty, and it is time for a sober look at whether that demand growth – which peaked at 10% in December – has carried into the new year. But, sober or not, looking at […]
  • David Harris
  • February 15, 2017

Cargo growth disappears in the Middle East

Abu Dhabi-based Etihad Airways reported 2016 cargo volume unchanged from 2015 at 593,000 tonnes. This is in stark contrast to the incredible growth Etihad has reported in previous years, but right in line with what is happening in neighboring Dubai, where Emirates is reporting a similar halt to growth. In the five years from 2009 […]
  • David Harris
  • February 9, 2017
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