Forecasting Air Freight Demand

In 2017, IATA reported global air cargo demand up 9% – the highest growth since 2010, and the third highest since 2000. That growth was about twice the rate of last year’s global trade growth, and nearly three times the rate of growth of global GDP, leaving many wondering where growth is headed moving forward. […]
  • Charles Kauffman
  • March 30, 2018

December 2017: Strong demand, but slower growth

Although demand for air freight remained strong through November 2017, beginning in September 2017, the year-over-year rate of demand growth began to fall from the double-digit heights achieved in the first eight months of the year as the tougher comparisons of late 2016 began to kick in. This trend continued into December. Early reports from […]
  • Charles Kauffman
  • January 17, 2018

Has the current traffic growth cycle peaked?

Last month we predicted that when worldwide data were available for October, we would see a year-over-year increase in air freight demand within mid-single digits. Both WorldACD and IATA have published their October analyses and, as you can see in the charts at right, demand growth was in line with our expectations, with IATA reporting […]
  • Charles Kauffman
  • December 5, 2017

April air freight growth: has acceleration peaked?

Two weeks ago, when we looked at the first April data coming in from some of the world’s big cargo carriers and airports, we predicted that when WorldACD and IATA published their detailed analyses at the end of the month, they would show worldwide air freight demand growth of close to 10%. Month-end is now […]
  • Charles Kauffman
  • June 1, 2017